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2012 March Madness – My Yearly Winning Stategy

JD — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 04:48:59 +0000

Guys, it is that time of year again and I should have posted this earlier so it could get into the Google search engine sooner, but I was lazy. lol. Not-to-mention, I think I have forgotten how to make a web page. Well I can get the basics done at least.

Anyway, I will post how to make a nice little return using a free play bonus from Bet Islands. I got rid of all my affiliate programs for the most part, there are some still floating around the site, except Amazon of course. I get a nice little commission if you click a link from my site and go to Amazon and buy something, but other than that, my internet marketing days are over. So why start this page telling you this? Well, just so you know, I do not get any kick backs from Bet Island or anything. It is just who I used this season. You can use anyone you want, but I went with them because they gave me a 110% free play bonus.

Now before I get further along, let me preface this with, I only deposited $500. This is my March Madness Party money. I basically do this each year to have fun. As a Professional Sports Bettor, I rarely have fun with the games and March Madness allows me to have a great time.

The first thing I did was go to Bet Island and get their 110% free play bonus; then I followed my guide on How to Effectively Use a Sports Betting Free Play Bonus, which turned my free play into $314.29 cash. Remember, you have to have an account at Bet Islands and an account somewhere else. So this season my March Madness bankroll is $510 + $314.29 = $824.29 Now, this would be nice to hold on to and just add it to may overall bankroll for the Baseball season, but this is my March Madness fun time so, I will buy a lot of chips, beer, dip, brisket, and anything else for my few weeks of fun.

I am currently working on the all the data and will post the final ratings so you don’t have to do all the work I have listed in my March Madness – Winning Betting Formula. You can do it all yourself if you wish. I even have a step-by-step video, but hey, if I’m going to post it here, why bother right?

I have made some minor changes to the strategy. Those teams which didn’t even warrant a spread for this NCAA season I reduced their points per person by 2 points, reduced 4 points in overall offense and added 4 points to defense. It makes sense given a few of the teams never really played any great teams and this will kind of weigh down their performance. I am still putting the data together and should have it posted before Tuesday morning. I will be updating this page as I get it done. I will make a note here, in the East division, I have #1 seated Syracuse slightly under #16 UNC Asheville. It should be a very interesting game. I am sure Syracuse will win, but there is the potential for an upset here.

The following is the break down of each team for the:
2012 NCAA Division I Tournament

Team		Top Players Points Per Game		Team Points		Scoring
	1	2	3	Per Game	FT%	Defense	Rating

SOUTH
Baylor	14	13.3	11.8	74.9	75.1	64.9	712.2
Colorado	12.6	11.6	10.9	67.6	69.4	62.5	619.6
Duke – Kelly3 – 11.8	15.4	13.4	10.9	77.5	70.2	68.5	702.7
Indiana	15.5	12	11.5	77.3	76.3	65.5	737.7
Iowa St.	13.1	12.5	11.8	73.2	67.9	66.7	654.2
Kentucky	14.3	13.2	12.5	76.7	72	59	766.7
*Lehigh	19.9	10.1	8	72.2	77.6	69.1	657.3
**Miss Valley St	12.6	12.4	10.4	66.6	65	71.3	534.7
New Mexico St.	18.8	12	10	78.5	66.8	68	710.3
Notre Dame	12.4	12.3	12.2	66.5	70.8	61.5	624.1
S. Dakota St.	21.3	11.5	10.5	77.3	73	66.4	734.4
UCONN	17.7	12.7	10.5	68.8	66.1	64.1	629.1
UNLV	14.1	12.7	12.1	76.6	67.8	65.9	701.4
VCU	13.3	10.6	10	68.4	68.9	59.8	642.2
Western Ky	11.8	10.3	8.6	65.1	69.3	68	540.1
Wichita St.	13.5	13.4	12.2	77.7	75.1	62.4	760.5
Xavier	17	15.5	10.2	70.8	69.2	67.5	642

WEST
BYU	16.7	15	12.7	78.2	70.5	66.6	738.7
Colorado St. – Smith3- 9.7	15.6	13.5	9.2	71	76.9	68.4	647.8
Davidson	16	14	11.1	78.4	76.7	67.8	741.2
Florida	16.3	14.6	12.1	76.3	71.2	66	719.9
Iona	18.5	16	13.6	83.3	71.6	72.6	767.2
*Long Beach St.-Anderson2-14	15.4	8	10	70	67.1	67.6	598.3
*Long Island	15.4	14.8	10.5	77.9	73.2	81.4	628.8
Louisville	13.1	11.4	10	68.8	68.6	61.2	637.7
Marquette	18.5	17.4	9.5	75.9	72.1	66.2	724
Memphis-Black3-10.9	18.1	11.1	10.3	75.3	72	63.1	721.1
Michigan St.	16.1	11.3	8.6	72.1	69.7	59.1	696.5
Missouri	17.6	14.9	13.9	80.3	76.6	65.7	792.4
Murray St.	19.2	14.2	10.9	74.2	73	61.2	739.7
New Mexico	13.4	12	11	73.2	70.7	59	713.5
*Norfolk St.	13.9	10.8	9.8	65	65.3	70	524.4
St. Louis	13.9	12.1	10.5	69.2	71.6	57.5	683
Virginia	18.1	11.5	8.7	63.1	72.4	53.7	650.3

EAST
Cincinnati	14.3	13.1	12.4	68.5	64.1	61.2	636.8
Florida St.	14.5	10.9	10.5	70.3	70.3	62.9	651.6
Gonzaga	13.8	13.1	11.7	74	71.5	63.2	701.9
Harvard	11.3	10.7	9.7	65.4	74.6	54.8	654.7
Kansas St.	15.4	10.3	9.5	71.4	66.6	63.7	644.9
Loyola (MD)	13.5	13.4	11.2	67.6	71.8	63.8	626.7
Montana	16	13.8	11.1	70.6	71.7	61.7	682.5
Ohio St.	17.6	15.4	14.7	74.8	69.8	59.1	761.6
Southern Miss	12.2	11.5	11.1	71.6	73.6	64.9	658.5
St. Bonaventure	18.4	12.1	7.6	70.7	76	64.9	665.7
Syracuse	13.8	12.6	9.3	74.6	69.1	60.4	712.2
Texas	20.1	11.3	9.8	73.1	73.1	66.8	679.4
**UNC Asheville	15.5	14.3	12.1	79.2	76.2	73.3	712.4
Vanderbilt	19.9	16.4	10	72.9	69.9	65	695.5
West Virginia	20.1	17.2	10.7	71.6	67.1	66.2	669.5
Wisconsin	14.7	10.9	10.5	63.9	74.1	52.9	663.2

MIDWEST
Alabama	14	11.9	9.1	64.9	71.5	58.1	626.7
*Belmont	12.1	10.7	8.9	77.5	73.7	71.3	669.6
California	15.3	13.1	12.9	71.7	74.6	61.8	703.8
Creighton	23.2	12.5	9.8	80	73.2	69.5	749.6
Detroit	15.6	13.5	10.9	72.8	73.4	67.6	667.8
Georgetown	13.9	12.7	11.7	69.1	69.7	59.1	670.4
Kansas	17.9	17.3	9.6	75	69.6	61.9	734.9
*Lamar	15.2	12.5	9.9	69.9	72.1	69.4	612.2
Michigan	14.8	14.6	9.5	66.5	72	61.4	634.4
N. Carolina	17.4	16.5	13.8	82	67.6	66.8	780.3
NC State	14.6	12.7	12.5	73.4	70.8	68	663.2
Ohio	14.6	11.7	9.2	70.7	68.1	62.4	651.7
Purdue	16.3	10.3	9.5	72.2	65.2	66	636.1
S. Florida	9.6	8.7	8.5	59.2	70.5	56.9	544.8
San Diego St.	17.2	15.7	10.3	71.2	70	63.2	680.4
St. Maryʼs-Holt3-10.4	15.6	14.8	10.2	74.9	72.7	62.4	727
Temple	17.7	17.1	11.4	76	71.8	69.9	700.7
*Vermont	10	9.9	8.2	63.3	74.2	64.5	551.7


* minus 2 points per person, minus 4 pnts overall offense and add 4 points defense due to having a NO LINE on the spread for the season.
** half the line above as there were a couple of spread lines

Remember, every 10 points in ratings equals 1 actual point when betting against the spread, for example:

Tuesdays Games:

**Miss Valley St

12.6

12.4

10.4

66.6

71.3

534.7

Western Ky

11.8

10.3

8.6

65.1

69.3

540.1

This represents Western Kentucky winning by .54 points. The current spread has Western Kentucky at -4.5, so since there is more than 1 point difference between what I have and what the spread is, we would take Mississippi Valley St. +4.5

BYU

16.7

12.7

78.2

70.5

66.6

738.7

Iona

18.5

13.6

83.3

71.6

72.6

767.2

Iona to win by 2.8 points. Current spread Iona +2, so taking Iona +2

My beginning bankroll for March Madness was $510. I already made $314.29 cash, so bankroll is $824.29

Out of the 32 games in the first round, 31 of them presently qualify for me to place bets. I will be risking $824.29 / 31 = $26.59 per bet.

I will try and post my plays as I make them, however you have all the information listed above that I will follow. Hopefully by the end of the tournament we will have made at least enough to pay for the party and had a great time screaming at the ref, for this is MARCH MADNESS!

Best of luck to you all,

2012 NCAA March Madness Results
as of end of March 24, 2012

$27.40 Profit
5.37% ROI
25 Wins 33 Losses = 43.10% Win Record

Almost out of money for March Madness… I did have fun though

Although, I didn’t really make enough to cover my March Madness party this year, I did have fun and I hope you guys had a blast. See you next you.

Best of Luck,

John

Picks Listed and Updated Daily

13 Mississippi Valley St. +4.5 WON

13 – Iona +2 LOSS

14 – Lamar -3

14 – California -3

15 – Murray St. -5

15 – Southern Miss +4.5

15 – Davidson +7

15 – Montana +9

15 – BYU +5.5

15 – UNC Asheville +15.5

15 – New Mexico -4.5

15 – Harvard +5

15 – Western Kentucy +25

15 – Wichita st. -6

15 – Gonzaga -1

15 – South Dakota St +8

15 – Iowa St +2

15 – New Mexico St. +6.5

15 – Loyola Maryland +17

15 – UNLV -5.5

16 – Texas +2.5

16 – San Diego St. +2.5

16 – Creighton +1.5

16 – Florida -3.5

16 – St. Bonaventure +6.5

16 – Belmont +4

16 – North Carolina -15.5

16 – Missouri -21.5

16 – Lehigh +12

16 – Ohio +6

16 – St. Mary’s -2

16 – LIU Brooklyn +20

16 – Xavier +2

16 – Temple -3

16 – Detroit +14

17 Syracuse -4.5

17 Gonzaga +7.5

17 Murray St. +5.5

17 Vanderbilt PK

17 Indiana -6

17 Baylor -7.5

17 New Mexico +1.5

18 – Georgetown -4

18 – St. Louis +7

18 – Creighton +8.5

18 – Norfolk St. +14.5

18 – Ohio +2.5

18 – Lehigh +3.5

18 – Kansas -8

18 – Cincinnati +2.5

22 – Syracuse -5

22 – Ohio St. -7.5

22 – Florida +2

23 – Baylor -6

23 – North Carolina -10.5

23 – Indiana +10

23 – N.C. State +9

SOUTH
Baylor	14	13.3	11.8	74.9	75.1	64.9	712.2
Colorado	12.6	11.6	10.9	67.6	69.4	62.5	619.6
Duke – Kelly3 – 11.8	15.4	13.4	10.9	77.5	70.2	68.5	702.7
Indiana	15.5	12	11.5	77.3	76.3	65.5	737.7
Iowa St.	13.1	12.5	11.8	73.2	67.9	66.7	654.2
Kentucky	14.3	13.2	12.5	76.7	72	59	766.7
*Lehigh	19.9	10.1	8	72.2	77.6	69.1	657.3
**Miss Valley St	12.6	12.4	10.4	66.6	65	71.3	534.7
New Mexico St.	18.8	12	10	78.5	66.8	68	710.3
Notre Dame	12.4	12.3	12.2	66.5	70.8	61.5	624.1
S. Dakota St.	21.3	11.5	10.5	77.3	73	66.4	734.4
UCONN	17.7	12.7	10.5	68.8	66.1	64.1	629.1
UNLV	14.1	12.7	12.1	76.6	67.8	65.9	701.4
VCU	13.3	10.6	10	68.4	68.9	59.8	642.2
Western Ky	11.8	10.3	8.6	65.1	69.3	68	540.1
Wichita St.	13.5	13.4	12.2	77.7	75.1	62.4	760.5
Xavier	17	15.5	10.2	70.8	69.2	67.5	642

WEST
BYU	16.7	15	12.7	78.2	70.5	66.6	738.7
Colorado St. – Smith3- 9.7	15.6	13.5	9.2	71	76.9	68.4	647.8
Davidson	16	14	11.1	78.4	76.7	67.8	741.2
Florida	16.3	14.6	12.1	76.3	71.2	66	719.9
Iona	18.5	16	13.6	83.3	71.6	72.6	767.2
*Long Beach St.-Anderson2-14	15.4	8	10	70	67.1	67.6	598.3
*Long Island	15.4	14.8	10.5	77.9	73.2	81.4	628.8
Louisville	13.1	11.4	10	68.8	68.6	61.2	637.7
Marquette	18.5	17.4	9.5	75.9	72.1	66.2	724
Memphis-Black3-10.9	18.1	11.1	10.3	75.3	72	63.1	721.1
Michigan St.	16.1	11.3	8.6	72.1	69.7	59.1	696.5
Missouri	17.6	14.9	13.9	80.3	76.6	65.7	792.4
Murray St.	19.2	14.2	10.9	74.2	73	61.2	739.7
New Mexico	13.4	12	11	73.2	70.7	59	713.5
*Norfolk St.	13.9	10.8	9.8	65	65.3	70	524.4
St. Louis	13.9	12.1	10.5	69.2	71.6	57.5	683
Virginia	18.1	11.5	8.7	63.1	72.4	53.7	650.3

EAST
Cincinnati	14.3	13.1	12.4	68.5	64.1	61.2	636.8
Florida St.	14.5	10.9	10.5	70.3	70.3	62.9	651.6
Gonzaga	13.8	13.1	11.7	74	71.5	63.2	701.9
Harvard	11.3	10.7	9.7	65.4	74.6	54.8	654.7
Kansas St.	15.4	10.3	9.5	71.4	66.6	63.7	644.9
Loyola (MD)	13.5	13.4	11.2	67.6	71.8	63.8	626.7
Montana	16	13.8	11.1	70.6	71.7	61.7	682.5
Ohio St.	17.6	15.4	14.7	74.8	69.8	59.1	761.6
Southern Miss	12.2	11.5	11.1	71.6	73.6	64.9	658.5
St. Bonaventure	18.4	12.1	7.6	70.7	76	64.9	665.7
Syracuse	13.8	12.6	9.3	74.6	69.1	60.4	712.2
Texas	20.1	11.3	9.8	73.1	73.1	66.8	679.4
**UNC Asheville	15.5	14.3	12.1	79.2	76.2	73.3	712.4
Vanderbilt	19.9	16.4	10	72.9	69.9	65	695.5
West Virginia	20.1	17.2	10.7	71.6	67.1	66.2	669.5
Wisconsin	14.7	10.9	10.5	63.9	74.1	52.9	663.2

MIDWEST
Alabama	14	11.9	9.1	64.9	71.5	58.1	626.7
*Belmont	12.1	10.7	8.9	77.5	73.7	71.3	669.6
California	15.3	13.1	12.9	71.7	74.6	61.8	703.8
Creighton	23.2	12.5	9.8	80	73.2	69.5	749.6
Detroit	15.6	13.5	10.9	72.8	73.4	67.6	667.8
Georgetown	13.9	12.7	11.7	69.1	69.7	59.1	670.4
Kansas	17.9	17.3	9.6	75	69.6	61.9	734.9
*Lamar	15.2	12.5	9.9	69.9	72.1	69.4	612.2
Michigan	14.8	14.6	9.5	66.5	72	61.4	634.4
N. Carolina	17.4	16.5	13.8	82	67.6	66.8	780.3
NC State	14.6	12.7	12.5	73.4	70.8	68	663.2
Ohio	14.6	11.7	9.2	70.7	68.1	62.4	651.7
Purdue	16.3	10.3	9.5	72.2	65.2	66	636.1
S. Florida	9.6	8.7	8.5	59.2	70.5	56.9	544.8
San Diego St.	17.2	15.7	10.3	71.2	70	63.2	680.4
St. Maryʼs-Holt3-10.4	15.6	14.8	10.2	74.9	72.7	62.4	727
Temple	17.7	17.1	11.4	76	71.8	69.9	700.7
*Vermont	10	9.9	8.2	63.3	74.2	64.5	551.7

May 3 Tuesday – Free Pick

JD — Tue, 03 May 2011 20:39:42 +0000

May 3, 2011

03 – LA ANGELS +140
03 – LA ANGELS +1.5 -165
03 – Cincinnati Reds -185
03 – Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +115
03 – Philadelphia Phillies -210
03 – Philadelphia Phillies –1.5 -105
03 – Kansas City Royals -119
03 – Kansas City Royals –1.5 +165

Best of Luck,

May 2 Monday – Free Pick

JD — Mon, 02 May 2011 22:37:29 +0000

May 2, 2011

02 – LA ANGELS +EV – LOST
02 – LA ANGELS +1.5 -210 – LOST

Best of Luck,

April 30 Saturday – Free Pick

JD — Sat, 30 Apr 2011 11:25:52 +0000

April 30, 2011

Crazy, another day of No Plays today… Enjoy the day off

See ya tomorrow,

April 29 Friday – Free Pick

JD — Fri, 29 Apr 2011 19:15:45 +0000

April 29, 2011

No Plays today… Enjoy the day off

See ya tomorrow,

April 28 Thursday– Free Pick

JD — Thu, 28 Apr 2011 20:48:03 +0000

April 28, 2011

No Plays today… Enjoy the day off

See ya tomorrow,

April 27 Wednesday – Free Pick

JD — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 20:46:26 +0000

April 27, 2011

27 – NY Yankees -164 - WON
27 – NY Yankees –1.5 +120 - WON
27 – Texas Rangers -173 - WON
27 – Texas Rangers –1.5 +105 – LOST

Best of Luck,

[SIZE="1"][B]
[U]MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record[/U]
21	-	33	38.89%	:: ROI= [COLOR="Red"] -4.89%[/COLOR] ::Units= [COLOR="Red"]-14.68[/COLOR]
[U]MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record[/U]
33	-	48	40.74%	:: ROI= [COLOR="Red"] -8.29%[/COLOR] ::Units= [COLOR="Red"]-64.15[/COLOR]
[U]MLB 2010 Record Final[/U]
255	-	170	60.00%	:: ROI= [COLOR="DarkGreen"] +19.69%[/COLOR] ::Units= [COLOR="DarkGreen"]+269.39[/COLOR]
[U]MLB 2009 Record Final[/U]
ROI = [COLOR="DarkGreen"]+26.11%[/COLOR] [/SIZE][/B]

April 26 Tuesday – Free Pick

JD — Tue, 26 Apr 2011 21:56:42 +0000

April 26, 2011

26 – Milwaukee Brewers -116 – WON
26 – Milwaukee Brewers –1.5 +175 – LOST
26 – NY Yankees -134 – LOST
26 – NY Yankees –1.5 +145 – LOST
26 – Texas Rangers -178 – LOST
26 – Texas Rangers –1.5 +110 – LOST

Best of Luck to us all,

April 25 Monday – Free Pick

JD — Mon, 25 Apr 2011 18:31:33 +0000

April 25, 2011

25 – MILWAUKEE BREWERS -124 – LOST
25 – MILWAUKEE BREWERS –1.5 +165 – LOST

Best of Luck to us all,

April 24 Sunday – Free Pick

JD — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 16:30:16 +0000

April 24, 2011

24 – LA Angels +118 – LOST
24 – LA Angels +1.5 -145 – LOST
24 – Milwaukee Brewers -148 – WON
24 – Milwaukee Brewers –1.5 +150 – WON

Best of Luck to us all,