JD's Reviews: Bars, Restaurant, & Life » March Madness!

March Madness! NCAA Tournament

JD — Mon, 28 Feb 2011 03:51:37 +0000

I thought about March Madness for a while on how to approach putting it on the site and decided to just have full disclosure and make it where March Madness has it’s own section. I will continue to update this area daily until I have finally completely this section, which should have a video of how I make my March Madness picks, complete disclosure of formulas to build your own spreadsheet, perhaps last years results, if I can find them, and so much more.

March Madness has always been a special time of the year. Even though I never really watch collage basketball, during this time of year I will be screaming at the refs with the best of them and the occasional, “com’on get your head out of your ass” comment can be heard, lol. It is just a fun time.

It is our hope that you too, will find joy in this chaotic beauty of a tournament, called March Madness.

BoL,

P.S. The $102.11 I made in 2011 was enough to cover my solo 2011 March Madness party as I was living in a new town I didn’t know anyone, but it was still fun.

Final Record & Return of Investment for 2011:

27 wins 29 losses = 48.21% win rate
Units = +11.04 units
$259.00 Starting Bankroll + $102.11 income = +39.42% ROI

MARCH MADNESS!!

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2012 March Madness – My Yearly Winning Stategy

JD — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 04:48:59 +0000

Guys, it is that time of year again and I should have posted this earlier so it could get into the Google search engine sooner, but I was lazy. lol. Not-to-mention, I think I have forgotten how to make a web page. Well I can get the basics done at least.

Anyway, I will post how to make a nice little return using a free play bonus from Bet Islands. I got rid of all my affiliate programs for the most part, there are some still floating around the site, except Amazon of course. I get a nice little commission if you click a link from my site and go to Amazon and buy something, but other than that, my internet marketing days are over. So why start this page telling you this? Well, just so you know, I do not get any kick backs from Bet Island or anything. It is just who I used this season. You can use anyone you want, but I went with them because they gave me a 110% free play bonus.

Now before I get further along, let me preface this with, I only deposited $500. This is my March Madness Party money. I basically do this each year to have fun. As a Professional Sports Bettor, I rarely have fun with the games and March Madness allows me to have a great time.

The first thing I did was go to Bet Island and get their 110% free play bonus; then I followed my guide on How to Effectively Use a Sports Betting Free Play Bonus, which turned my free play into $314.29 cash. Remember, you have to have an account at Bet Islands and an account somewhere else. So this season my March Madness bankroll is $510 + $314.29 = $824.29 Now, this would be nice to hold on to and just add it to may overall bankroll for the Baseball season, but this is my March Madness fun time so, I will buy a lot of chips, beer, dip, brisket, and anything else for my few weeks of fun.

I am currently working on the all the data and will post the final ratings so you don’t have to do all the work I have listed in my March Madness – Winning Betting Formula. You can do it all yourself if you wish. I even have a step-by-step video, but hey, if I’m going to post it here, why bother right?

I have made some minor changes to the strategy. Those teams which didn’t even warrant a spread for this NCAA season I reduced their points per person by 2 points, reduced 4 points in overall offense and added 4 points to defense. It makes sense given a few of the teams never really played any great teams and this will kind of weigh down their performance. I am still putting the data together and should have it posted before Tuesday morning. I will be updating this page as I get it done. I will make a note here, in the East division, I have #1 seated Syracuse slightly under #16 UNC Asheville. It should be a very interesting game. I am sure Syracuse will win, but there is the potential for an upset here.

The following is the break down of each team for the:
2012 NCAA Division I Tournament

Team		Top Players Points Per Game		Team Points		Scoring
	1	2	3	Per Game	FT%	Defense	Rating

SOUTH
Baylor	14	13.3	11.8	74.9	75.1	64.9	712.2
Colorado	12.6	11.6	10.9	67.6	69.4	62.5	619.6
Duke – Kelly3 – 11.8	15.4	13.4	10.9	77.5	70.2	68.5	702.7
Indiana	15.5	12	11.5	77.3	76.3	65.5	737.7
Iowa St.	13.1	12.5	11.8	73.2	67.9	66.7	654.2
Kentucky	14.3	13.2	12.5	76.7	72	59	766.7
*Lehigh	19.9	10.1	8	72.2	77.6	69.1	657.3
**Miss Valley St	12.6	12.4	10.4	66.6	65	71.3	534.7
New Mexico St.	18.8	12	10	78.5	66.8	68	710.3
Notre Dame	12.4	12.3	12.2	66.5	70.8	61.5	624.1
S. Dakota St.	21.3	11.5	10.5	77.3	73	66.4	734.4
UCONN	17.7	12.7	10.5	68.8	66.1	64.1	629.1
UNLV	14.1	12.7	12.1	76.6	67.8	65.9	701.4
VCU	13.3	10.6	10	68.4	68.9	59.8	642.2
Western Ky	11.8	10.3	8.6	65.1	69.3	68	540.1
Wichita St.	13.5	13.4	12.2	77.7	75.1	62.4	760.5
Xavier	17	15.5	10.2	70.8	69.2	67.5	642

WEST
BYU	16.7	15	12.7	78.2	70.5	66.6	738.7
Colorado St. – Smith3- 9.7	15.6	13.5	9.2	71	76.9	68.4	647.8
Davidson	16	14	11.1	78.4	76.7	67.8	741.2
Florida	16.3	14.6	12.1	76.3	71.2	66	719.9
Iona	18.5	16	13.6	83.3	71.6	72.6	767.2
*Long Beach St.-Anderson2-14	15.4	8	10	70	67.1	67.6	598.3
*Long Island	15.4	14.8	10.5	77.9	73.2	81.4	628.8
Louisville	13.1	11.4	10	68.8	68.6	61.2	637.7
Marquette	18.5	17.4	9.5	75.9	72.1	66.2	724
Memphis-Black3-10.9	18.1	11.1	10.3	75.3	72	63.1	721.1
Michigan St.	16.1	11.3	8.6	72.1	69.7	59.1	696.5
Missouri	17.6	14.9	13.9	80.3	76.6	65.7	792.4
Murray St.	19.2	14.2	10.9	74.2	73	61.2	739.7
New Mexico	13.4	12	11	73.2	70.7	59	713.5
*Norfolk St.	13.9	10.8	9.8	65	65.3	70	524.4
St. Louis	13.9	12.1	10.5	69.2	71.6	57.5	683
Virginia	18.1	11.5	8.7	63.1	72.4	53.7	650.3

EAST
Cincinnati	14.3	13.1	12.4	68.5	64.1	61.2	636.8
Florida St.	14.5	10.9	10.5	70.3	70.3	62.9	651.6
Gonzaga	13.8	13.1	11.7	74	71.5	63.2	701.9
Harvard	11.3	10.7	9.7	65.4	74.6	54.8	654.7
Kansas St.	15.4	10.3	9.5	71.4	66.6	63.7	644.9
Loyola (MD)	13.5	13.4	11.2	67.6	71.8	63.8	626.7
Montana	16	13.8	11.1	70.6	71.7	61.7	682.5
Ohio St.	17.6	15.4	14.7	74.8	69.8	59.1	761.6
Southern Miss	12.2	11.5	11.1	71.6	73.6	64.9	658.5
St. Bonaventure	18.4	12.1	7.6	70.7	76	64.9	665.7
Syracuse	13.8	12.6	9.3	74.6	69.1	60.4	712.2
Texas	20.1	11.3	9.8	73.1	73.1	66.8	679.4
**UNC Asheville	15.5	14.3	12.1	79.2	76.2	73.3	712.4
Vanderbilt	19.9	16.4	10	72.9	69.9	65	695.5
West Virginia	20.1	17.2	10.7	71.6	67.1	66.2	669.5
Wisconsin	14.7	10.9	10.5	63.9	74.1	52.9	663.2

MIDWEST
Alabama	14	11.9	9.1	64.9	71.5	58.1	626.7
*Belmont	12.1	10.7	8.9	77.5	73.7	71.3	669.6
California	15.3	13.1	12.9	71.7	74.6	61.8	703.8
Creighton	23.2	12.5	9.8	80	73.2	69.5	749.6
Detroit	15.6	13.5	10.9	72.8	73.4	67.6	667.8
Georgetown	13.9	12.7	11.7	69.1	69.7	59.1	670.4
Kansas	17.9	17.3	9.6	75	69.6	61.9	734.9
*Lamar	15.2	12.5	9.9	69.9	72.1	69.4	612.2
Michigan	14.8	14.6	9.5	66.5	72	61.4	634.4
N. Carolina	17.4	16.5	13.8	82	67.6	66.8	780.3
NC State	14.6	12.7	12.5	73.4	70.8	68	663.2
Ohio	14.6	11.7	9.2	70.7	68.1	62.4	651.7
Purdue	16.3	10.3	9.5	72.2	65.2	66	636.1
S. Florida	9.6	8.7	8.5	59.2	70.5	56.9	544.8
San Diego St.	17.2	15.7	10.3	71.2	70	63.2	680.4
St. Maryʼs-Holt3-10.4	15.6	14.8	10.2	74.9	72.7	62.4	727
Temple	17.7	17.1	11.4	76	71.8	69.9	700.7
*Vermont	10	9.9	8.2	63.3	74.2	64.5	551.7


* minus 2 points per person, minus 4 pnts overall offense and add 4 points defense due to having a NO LINE on the spread for the season.
** half the line above as there were a couple of spread lines

Remember, every 10 points in ratings equals 1 actual point when betting against the spread, for example:

Tuesdays Games:

**Miss Valley St

12.6

12.4

10.4

66.6

71.3

534.7

Western Ky

11.8

10.3

8.6

65.1

69.3

540.1

This represents Western Kentucky winning by .54 points. The current spread has Western Kentucky at -4.5, so since there is more than 1 point difference between what I have and what the spread is, we would take Mississippi Valley St. +4.5

BYU

16.7

12.7

78.2

70.5

66.6

738.7

Iona

18.5

13.6

83.3

71.6

72.6

767.2

Iona to win by 2.8 points. Current spread Iona +2, so taking Iona +2

My beginning bankroll for March Madness was $510. I already made $314.29 cash, so bankroll is $824.29

Out of the 32 games in the first round, 31 of them presently qualify for me to place bets. I will be risking $824.29 / 31 = $26.59 per bet.

I will try and post my plays as I make them, however you have all the information listed above that I will follow. Hopefully by the end of the tournament we will have made at least enough to pay for the party and had a great time screaming at the ref, for this is MARCH MADNESS!

Best of luck to you all,

2012 NCAA March Madness Results
as of end of March 24, 2012

$27.40 Profit
5.37% ROI
25 Wins 33 Losses = 43.10% Win Record

Almost out of money for March Madness… I did have fun though

Although, I didn’t really make enough to cover my March Madness party this year, I did have fun and I hope you guys had a blast. See you next you.

Best of Luck,

John

Picks Listed and Updated Daily

13 Mississippi Valley St. +4.5 WON

13 – Iona +2 LOSS

14 – Lamar -3

14 – California -3

15 – Murray St. -5

15 – Southern Miss +4.5

15 – Davidson +7

15 – Montana +9

15 – BYU +5.5

15 – UNC Asheville +15.5

15 – New Mexico -4.5

15 – Harvard +5

15 – Western Kentucy +25

15 – Wichita st. -6

15 – Gonzaga -1

15 – South Dakota St +8

15 – Iowa St +2

15 – New Mexico St. +6.5

15 – Loyola Maryland +17

15 – UNLV -5.5

16 – Texas +2.5

16 – San Diego St. +2.5

16 – Creighton +1.5

16 – Florida -3.5

16 – St. Bonaventure +6.5

16 – Belmont +4

16 – North Carolina -15.5

16 – Missouri -21.5

16 – Lehigh +12

16 – Ohio +6

16 – St. Mary’s -2

16 – LIU Brooklyn +20

16 – Xavier +2

16 – Temple -3

16 – Detroit +14

17 Syracuse -4.5

17 Gonzaga +7.5

17 Murray St. +5.5

17 Vanderbilt PK

17 Indiana -6

17 Baylor -7.5

17 New Mexico +1.5

18 – Georgetown -4

18 – St. Louis +7

18 – Creighton +8.5

18 – Norfolk St. +14.5

18 – Ohio +2.5

18 – Lehigh +3.5

18 – Kansas -8

18 – Cincinnati +2.5

22 – Syracuse -5

22 – Ohio St. -7.5

22 – Florida +2

23 – Baylor -6

23 – North Carolina -10.5

23 – Indiana +10

23 – N.C. State +9

SOUTH
Baylor	14	13.3	11.8	74.9	75.1	64.9	712.2
Colorado	12.6	11.6	10.9	67.6	69.4	62.5	619.6
Duke – Kelly3 – 11.8	15.4	13.4	10.9	77.5	70.2	68.5	702.7
Indiana	15.5	12	11.5	77.3	76.3	65.5	737.7
Iowa St.	13.1	12.5	11.8	73.2	67.9	66.7	654.2
Kentucky	14.3	13.2	12.5	76.7	72	59	766.7
*Lehigh	19.9	10.1	8	72.2	77.6	69.1	657.3
**Miss Valley St	12.6	12.4	10.4	66.6	65	71.3	534.7
New Mexico St.	18.8	12	10	78.5	66.8	68	710.3
Notre Dame	12.4	12.3	12.2	66.5	70.8	61.5	624.1
S. Dakota St.	21.3	11.5	10.5	77.3	73	66.4	734.4
UCONN	17.7	12.7	10.5	68.8	66.1	64.1	629.1
UNLV	14.1	12.7	12.1	76.6	67.8	65.9	701.4
VCU	13.3	10.6	10	68.4	68.9	59.8	642.2
Western Ky	11.8	10.3	8.6	65.1	69.3	68	540.1
Wichita St.	13.5	13.4	12.2	77.7	75.1	62.4	760.5
Xavier	17	15.5	10.2	70.8	69.2	67.5	642

WEST
BYU	16.7	15	12.7	78.2	70.5	66.6	738.7
Colorado St. – Smith3- 9.7	15.6	13.5	9.2	71	76.9	68.4	647.8
Davidson	16	14	11.1	78.4	76.7	67.8	741.2
Florida	16.3	14.6	12.1	76.3	71.2	66	719.9
Iona	18.5	16	13.6	83.3	71.6	72.6	767.2
*Long Beach St.-Anderson2-14	15.4	8	10	70	67.1	67.6	598.3
*Long Island	15.4	14.8	10.5	77.9	73.2	81.4	628.8
Louisville	13.1	11.4	10	68.8	68.6	61.2	637.7
Marquette	18.5	17.4	9.5	75.9	72.1	66.2	724
Memphis-Black3-10.9	18.1	11.1	10.3	75.3	72	63.1	721.1
Michigan St.	16.1	11.3	8.6	72.1	69.7	59.1	696.5
Missouri	17.6	14.9	13.9	80.3	76.6	65.7	792.4
Murray St.	19.2	14.2	10.9	74.2	73	61.2	739.7
New Mexico	13.4	12	11	73.2	70.7	59	713.5
*Norfolk St.	13.9	10.8	9.8	65	65.3	70	524.4
St. Louis	13.9	12.1	10.5	69.2	71.6	57.5	683
Virginia	18.1	11.5	8.7	63.1	72.4	53.7	650.3

EAST
Cincinnati	14.3	13.1	12.4	68.5	64.1	61.2	636.8
Florida St.	14.5	10.9	10.5	70.3	70.3	62.9	651.6
Gonzaga	13.8	13.1	11.7	74	71.5	63.2	701.9
Harvard	11.3	10.7	9.7	65.4	74.6	54.8	654.7
Kansas St.	15.4	10.3	9.5	71.4	66.6	63.7	644.9
Loyola (MD)	13.5	13.4	11.2	67.6	71.8	63.8	626.7
Montana	16	13.8	11.1	70.6	71.7	61.7	682.5
Ohio St.	17.6	15.4	14.7	74.8	69.8	59.1	761.6
Southern Miss	12.2	11.5	11.1	71.6	73.6	64.9	658.5
St. Bonaventure	18.4	12.1	7.6	70.7	76	64.9	665.7
Syracuse	13.8	12.6	9.3	74.6	69.1	60.4	712.2
Texas	20.1	11.3	9.8	73.1	73.1	66.8	679.4
**UNC Asheville	15.5	14.3	12.1	79.2	76.2	73.3	712.4
Vanderbilt	19.9	16.4	10	72.9	69.9	65	695.5
West Virginia	20.1	17.2	10.7	71.6	67.1	66.2	669.5
Wisconsin	14.7	10.9	10.5	63.9	74.1	52.9	663.2

MIDWEST
Alabama	14	11.9	9.1	64.9	71.5	58.1	626.7
*Belmont	12.1	10.7	8.9	77.5	73.7	71.3	669.6
California	15.3	13.1	12.9	71.7	74.6	61.8	703.8
Creighton	23.2	12.5	9.8	80	73.2	69.5	749.6
Detroit	15.6	13.5	10.9	72.8	73.4	67.6	667.8
Georgetown	13.9	12.7	11.7	69.1	69.7	59.1	670.4
Kansas	17.9	17.3	9.6	75	69.6	61.9	734.9
*Lamar	15.2	12.5	9.9	69.9	72.1	69.4	612.2
Michigan	14.8	14.6	9.5	66.5	72	61.4	634.4
N. Carolina	17.4	16.5	13.8	82	67.6	66.8	780.3
NC State	14.6	12.7	12.5	73.4	70.8	68	663.2
Ohio	14.6	11.7	9.2	70.7	68.1	62.4	651.7
Purdue	16.3	10.3	9.5	72.2	65.2	66	636.1
S. Florida	9.6	8.7	8.5	59.2	70.5	56.9	544.8
San Diego St.	17.2	15.7	10.3	71.2	70	63.2	680.4
St. Maryʼs-Holt3-10.4	15.6	14.8	10.2	74.9	72.7	62.4	727
Temple	17.7	17.1	11.4	76	71.8	69.9	700.7
*Vermont	10	9.9	8.2	63.3	74.2	64.5	551.7

2011 March Madness Free Bracket Contests!

JD — Tue, 15 Mar 2011 02:59:35 +0000

There are always tons of Bracket contests each year and many just are not worth the effort. For the 2011 March Madness NCAA Division 1 these are the ones I will be doing and recommend.

List of Tournament Sites

Bodog’s Bracket Buster

Select the March Madness tab

Details

Free to Enter
$25K in cash prizes
$5K grand prize
Deadline: March 17th at 9am EST

Grand Prize	$5,000
2nd Place	$2,000
3rd Place	$1,000
4th – 5th Place	$500
6th – 20th Place	$200
21st – 50th Place	$100
51st – 100th Place	$50
101st – 200th Place	$25
201st – 300th Place	$20
301st – 500th	$15

Bet Jamaica’s & The Greek Million Dollar Tournament Madness

Whether you sign up with the Greek or Bet Jamaica, they are the same tournament.

Details

Free to Enter
Deadline: March 17th at noon EST

Rank	Prize
1	$10,000
2	$5,000
3	$3,000
4	$2,000
5	$1,000
6-10	$500
11-20	$250
21-30	$125
31-50	$100
51-100	$75
101-200	$50
201-300	$25

Fine Print

You must have an account at The Greek in order to receive any prize. In order to win the full value of any overall prize amount, winner(s) must have signed up and created an account (or have an existing account) and made a total of $100 in “real money” wagers at The Greek on any event(s) available in the contest. Otherwise, the contestant will only be paid 20% of the indicated overall prize value but no less than $25. Contest prizes of $25 will be paid at full value as long as winner has signed up and created an account (or has an existing account) prior to winning a prize. All qualifying real wagers must be made no later than the start of the first game of the Final Eight on Saturday, March 26, 2011 to be eligible to receive the full prize amount.

Bet Guardian Sportsbook

Details

Must have active BetGuardian Account.
Minimum $300 Account Balance to enter.
Deadline 9am PST March 17th

PRIZES

Top prize: $25,000 to the winning contestant(s) who submits the perfect bracket.

First place: $7,500 – Contestant(s) with the highest point count.

Second place: $3,500 – Contestant(s) with the second highest point count.

Third through twenty-fourth place: $400.

Twenty-fifth through fifty-eight place: $100.

Tenty-fifth through sixtieth place: $150.

Intertops

Details – Wish I would have paid closer attention to the details before I filled out the bracket as I do not plan to bet here.

Free to enter
Must wager $100 in the sports book in order to be eligible for prizes
Deadline: before start of 1st game on March 17th

Prize Structure

$25,000 main prize to a customer with a valid competition entry containing 63 correct picks. Should more than one customer have a valid competition entry containing 63 correct picks, then the $25,000 prize will be equally divided among all verified winners. If no player manages to select a “perfect bracket”, the prize money will be divided equally amongst the 25 players with the highest number of correct picks. Should more than one player have the same amount of picks as the player ranked 25th, then these players will also be added to those eligible for the prize money.

BookMaker and Diamond

Both have the same type of tournament.

Details

You can get contest entries 3 ways:
- 1) for every $100 you deposit you get 1 entry
- 2) you can use your BetPoints to get an entry
- 3) you can purchase them for $10 each
Deadline is 1 minute before the 1st game on March 17th

Prize Structure

Position	Prize
1st	$10,000 CASH
2nd	$5,000 CASH
3rd	$2,500 CASH
4th to 100th	15,000 BetPoints + Free $4+$0.40 Poker Tournament Ticket
101st to 150th	7,500 BetPoints + Free $4+$0.40 Poker Tournament Ticket
151th to 300th	3,500 BetPoints + Free $4+$0.40 Poker Tournament Ticket
301st to 500th	1,000 BetPoints + Free $4+$0.40 Poker Tournament Ticket
501st to 1,000th	500 BetPoints + Free entry to $1000 Head-to-Head Blackjack Tournament ($27.50 value)
1,001st to 2,500th	100 BetPoints + Free entry to $1000 Head-to-Head Blackjack Tournament ($27.50 value)
2501st to 5,000th	75 BetPoints + Free entry to $1000 Head-to-Head Blackjack Tournament ($27.50 value)
5,001st to Last Place	50 BetPoints

Fine Print

Only active players are eligible to receive any prize money. An active player is defined as having at least $300 worth of sports wagers as of the end of Round 2 (March 18, 2011). Contestants who fail to meet this requirement will only be awarded 10% of the listed cash prize amount only.

Well Guys, that looks like about all I will be joining. I realize there is ESPN and the like, but most of those have a crazy amount of people signed up and the prize pool is usually not that deep.

I also do not enter contests with low rated Sport Books, just isn’t worth the hassle. However, if you guys come across any others, please feel free to leave a comment.

Best of Luck to us all,

March Madness 2011 Picks & Results – Step by Step Guide to a Winning Tournament

JD — Sun, 13 Mar 2011 23:39:28 +0000

This Guide is a Step-by-step plan for success in this year’s:
2011 March Madness NCAA Division 1 tournament

It time to get excited guys! March Madness is here!!

This page will be updated as the tournament unfolds. There could be updates throughout the day so check back often. I would also suggest signing up for my once a day email subscription. The email will contain my picks for the day and any other new posts I make.

The picks were determined by using the formula at this link: March Madness – Winning Betting Formula – Results – Schedule

This is a 3 Step Guide to make money during this years March Madness Division 1 tournament

1) Get the Bonus:
The first thing I did was get a nice little bonus. For those of you that have been following me, you know this is the only time of the year I bet for fun, so I don’t drop thousands of dollars, but enough to make it fun

I picked up my 100% Free Play bonus on a deposit of $250 and unfortunately, I never got around to becoming an affiliate with them. However, I still recommend them, obviously since I just used them. Here is the link to Rebate Wager. Now you must not have a balance there in order to qualify for it, however, Bet Online, will match anyone’s bonus and the only reason I didn’t use Bet Online, was because I am already using them for another project.

Now I will not use that $250 Free Play at part of the March Madness Bankroll. Instead I will convert it to an at least guarenteed 50% cash amount. If you are not familiar with this then I suggest you read my article: How to Effectively Use a Free Play Bonus. I will post the pick I use to do this when it happens. However right now that means I have made $125 on my $259 deposit. So I have already made a 48.26% return and the tournament hasn’t even started.

I might add that there is nothing preventing you from depositing $250 at both places. If you know of a better bonus, please post it in the comments below.

2) Sign up here JD Sports Online emailed picks to receive an email as soon as picks are posted or check 2011 March Madness Free Picks often for posted plays:

3) Follow my posted picks and here is the link:

My Contest Bracket Picks:
The following link is to my Bodog Bracket Buster. It will show my entire Bracket picks for the 2011 March Madness Division 1 Tournament.

Final Record & Return of Investment for 2011:

27 wins 29 losses = 48.21% win rate
Units = +11.04 units
$259.00 Starting Bankroll + $102.11 income = +39.42% ROI

2011 March Madness Match Ups:
Now these teams in Round 1 where they are struggling to get into the tournament, I do not bet them. I only am including them so we can get their rating for when whichever team advances we will already have their data done.

Round 1 – Not actually betting this round

UTSA (19-13) -4 – WON
Ala. St. (17-17)

UAB (22-8) +4.5 – LOST
Clemson (21-11)

USC (19-14)
VCU (23-11) Line too close to tell

UNC Ash. (19-13) -4.0 – PUSH
UALR (19-16)

Main Start of Tournament
Round 2

EAST

Thursday

West Virginia (20-11) 641.9
Clemson 645.7 +2.5 - LOST

Kentucky (25-8) 750.2
Princeton (25-6) 664 +13 – WON

Friday

Ohio St. (32-2) 772.7
UTSA 640.7 +24 - LOST

George Mason (26-6) 704 – Line too Close
Villanova (21-11) 701.1

Xavier (24-7) 708.6 - Line too Close
Marquette (20-14) 691.5

Syracuse (26-7) 684.8
Indiana St. (20-13) 583.7 +12.5 - LOST

Washington (23-10) 755.1 -5 - LOST
Georgia (21-11) 643.9

North Carolina (26-7) 690.7
Long Island (27-5) 695.2 +17.5 – WON

WEST

Thursday

Cincinnati (25-8) 644.3
Missouri (23-10) 734.9 +1 – LOST

Connecticut (26-9) 697.5
Bucknell (25-8) 677 +10 – LOST

Temple (25-7) 664.9 -2.5 – LOST
Penn St. (19-14) 603.3

San Diego St. (32-2) 602
Northern Colo. (21-10) 690.4 +15.5 – LOST

Friday

Duke (30-4) 822.4
Hampton (24-8) 639.5 +23 - LOST

Michigan (20-13) 611.9
Tennessee (19-14) 634.9 – Line too Close

Arizona (27-7) 704.1 -5.5 - LOST
Memphis (25-9) 613.2

Texas (27-7) 717.8
Oakland (25-9) 765.4 +10.5 – WON

SOUTHWEST

Thursday

Vanderbilt (23-10) 731.3 -3 – LOST
Richmond (27-7) 685.4

Louisville (25-9) 683.9
Morehead St. (24-9) 670.4 +9.5 – WON

Friday

Kansas (32-2) 777
Boston U. (21-13) 636.4 +22.5 – WON

UNLV (24-8) 672.5 – Line too close
Illinois (19-13) 657.3

Georgetown (21-10) 655.2
VCU (23-11) 652.2 +5.5 – WON

Purdue (25-7) 723 -14.5 – WON
St. Peter’s (20-13) 554

Texas A&M (24-8) 649.8 -1 - LOST
Florida St. (21-10) 610.7

Notre Dame (26-6) 730.5
Akron (23-12) 625 +14 – WON

SOUTHEAST

Thursday

Pittsburgh (27-5) 708.5
UNC Ash. (19-13) 667.9 +17.5 – LOST

Butler (23-9) 689.3 +2.5 – WON
Old Dominion (27-6) 625

Kansas St. (22-10) 658.4
Utah St. (30-3) 718.3 +2.5 – LOST

Wisconsin (23-8) 729.4
Belmont (30-4) 770.9 +5 – LOST

St. John’s (NY) (21-11) 633.6
Gonzaga (24-9) 730.9 +1.5

BYU (30-4) 801.6 -8.5 – LOST
Wofford (21-12) 684

UCLA (22-10) 633.5 +1 – WON
Michigan St. (19-14) 622.8

Florida (26-7) 664.6
UC Santa Barbara (18-13) 657.6 +13 – LOST

EAST

Saturday

WEST VIRGINIA 641.9
KENTUCKY 750.2 -4 – WON

Sunday

OHIO ST 772.7
GEORGE MASON 704 +11 – LOST

MARQUETTE 691.5 +5 – WON
SYRACUSE 684.8

WASHINGTON 755.1
NORTH CAROLINA 690.7 -3.5 – LOST

WEST

Saturday

CINCINNATI 644.3
UCONN 697.5 -3.5 – WON

TEMPLE 644.9 +5.5 – LOST
SAN DIEGO ST 602

Sunday

DUKE 822.4 -12.5 – LOST
MICHIGAN 611.9

ARIZONA 704.1 +5.5 – WON
TEXAS 717.8

SOUTHWEST

Saturday

RICHMOND 685.4
MOREHEAD ST 670.4 +4 – LOST

Sunday

KANSAS 777 -8.5 – WON
ILLINOIS 657.3

VCU 652.2 +9.5 – WON
PURDUE 723

FLORIDA ST 610.7
NOTRE DAME 730.5 -5 – LOST

SOUTHWEST

Saturday

PITTSBURGH 708.5
BUTLER 689.3 +8 – WON

KANSAS ST 658.4
WISCONSIN 729.4 -3 – WON

GONZAGA 730.9
BYU 801.6 +1.5 – WON

UCLA 633.5 +5.5 – LOST
FLORIDA 664.6

EAST

Friday

OHIO ST772.7
UK 750.2 +6 – WON

MARQ 691.5 +4.5 – LOST
N.C 690.7

WEST

Thursday

DUKE 822.4 -8.5 – LOST
ARIZ 704.1

UCON 697.5 PK – WON
SDSU 602

SOUTHWEST

Friday

KAN 777
RICH 685.4 +10.5 – LOST

VCU 652.2 +3.5 – WON
FSU 610.7

SOUTHEAST

Thursday

BUTL 689.3
WIS 729.4 Line is too close to bet

BYU 801.6 +3 – LOST
FLA 664.6

SWITCHING TO GAMES LISTED BY DAY

Saturday

Butler (23-9) +4.5 – WON
Florida (26-7)

Arizona (27-7) +3 – WON
Connecticut (26-9)

Sunday

Kansas (32-2) – Line is too close to bet
VCU (23-11)

Kentucky (25-8) -1.5 – WON
North Carolina (26-7)

Saturday – April 2nd 2011

Kentucky (25-8) -2 – LOST
Connecticut (26-9)

VCU (23-11)
Butler (23-9) -2.5 – WON

Below is the Ratings Data for the 2011 March Madness Division 1 Tournament

Team		Top Players Points Per Game		Team Points		Scoring
SOUTH	1	2	3	Per Game	FT%	Defense	Rating

Ala. St. (17-17)	12.5	10.9	8.7	61.3	60	63.6	505.4
Clemson (21-11)	14.7	12.1	10.8	68.3	69.3	60.9	645.7
George Mason (26-6)	15.3	14.4	10.7	73.3	69	61.5	704
Georgia (21-11)	16.1	14.5	12.2	68.8	69.6	64.3	643.9
Indiana St. (20-13)	11	8.8	9.4	66.5	71.1	64.1	583.7
Kentucky (25-8)	17.5	16.5	13	76.4	71.8	63.8	750.2
Long Island (27-5)	12.9	12.9	11	82.6	64.5	73.9	695.2
Marquette (20-14)	16	15.9	11.7	76.1	69.1	69.1	691.5
North Carolina (26-7)	15	14.5	11.4	76.7	66.3	67.8	690.7
Ohio St. (32-2)	17.3	14.2	12.4	77.1	70.5	59.8	772.7
Princeton (25-6)	13.9	13.9	12.7	69.6	73.1	63.2	664
Syracuse (26-7)	14.4	13	12.8	73.6	65.9	63.3	684.8
UAB (22-8)	17.7	14.3	12	68.9	71.9	62.3	669.5
UTSA (19-13)	17	14.8	13.6	70.9	70.6	69.6	640.7
Villanova (21-11)	15.4	15	14	72.7	75.8	65.6	701.1
Washington (23-10)	16.8	15.5	10.8	83.5	66.7	70.4	755.1
West Virginia (20-11)	14.1	13.1	10.9	69.5	70.6	64.1	641.9
Xavier (24-7)	20.2	13.8	11.7	72.6	74.8	64.5	708.6

WEST

**Temple (25-7)	14.9	11.8	10.7	70.9	69.4	62.2	664.9
Arizona (27-7)	19.1	9.6	8.3	76.5	74.7	67.5	704.1
Bucknell (25-8)	14.9	11.7	8.8	70.8	78.6	63.4	677
Cincinnati (25-8)	11.8	11.6	9.9	69	66.6	59.2	644.3
Connecticut (26-9)	22.5	10.3	10	73.4	75.5	66.4	697.5
Duke (30-4)	21.3	13.4	17.1	81.1	75	64.3	822.4
Hampton (24-8)	17.7	16.5	10.7	67.7	64.7	62	639.5
Memphis (25-9)	12.3	9.9	9.2	72	67.9	68.1	613.2
Michigan (20-13)	15.2	13.9	9.2	66.1	69.6	62.7	611.9
Missouri (23-10)	17.1	11.6	10.5	81.4	73.9	71.4	734.9
Northern Colo. (21-10)	21.4	10.6	9.5	72.2	77.2	65.7	690.4
Oakland (25-9)	18	17.4	12.5	85.6	72.1	76.6	765.4
Penn St. (19-14)	20.1	13.3	9.8	63	72.5	62.4	603.3
San Diego St. (32-2)	15.4	11.5	11.2	72.2	69.8	73.7	602
Tennessee (19-14)	17.4	15.2	8.9	70.6	68.3	67.3	634.9
Texas (27-7)	18.6	13.3	11.5	74.9	64.5	61.4	717.8

SOUTHWEST

Akron (23-12)	11.9	10.3	10.1	70.5	70.6	65.6	625
Boston U. (21-13)	19.2	14.5	10.9	66.4	72.7	63.7	636.4
Florida St. (21-10)	9.8	9.9	8.6	69.3	66.3	62.2	610.7
Georgetown (21-10)	17.9	9.1	12.1	71	73.2	66.1	655.2
Illinois (19-13)	14.8	12	10.1	71.3	72.9	65.2	657.3
Kansas (32-2)	17.3	13.6	10	82.4	68.1	65.2	777
Louisville (25-9)	14.8	10.8	10.1	75.3	66.9	64.6	683.9
Morehead St. (24-9)	17.6	16	10.4	69.8	67.5	61.7	670.4
Notre Dame (26-6)	18.5	15.3	11.6	76	72.5	65.6	730.5
Purdue (25-7)	20.5	18.2	7.8	72.7	71.2	61.4	723
Richmond (27-7)	17.9	16.5	9.9	70.2	69.1	61	685.4
St. Peter’s (20-13)	12.8	11.6	10.6	61.4	64.3	59.9	554
Texas A&M (24-8)	14.3	11.9	9.8	68.9	70.3	61	649.8
UNLV (24-8)	13.5	13	11.1	71.9	69	62.6	672.5
USC (19-14)	17.3	10.4	10	66.8	65.3	62.8	604.2
Vanderbilt (23-10)	19.5	15.1	12.8	76.2	74.7	67.6	731.3
VCU (23-11)	15.3	14	11.3	71.5	71.9	67.4	652.2

SOUTHEAST

Belmont (30-4)	12.4	10.6	10	80.4	73.6	61.9	770.9
Butler (23-9)	16.7	15.2	8.9	72.8	73	64.7	689.3
BYU (30-4)	28.5	12.6	8.5	81.6	75.9	67.5	801.6
Florida (26-7)	14.4	14.1	11.5	71.5	66.6	63.1	664.6
Gonzaga (24-9)	13.8	12.5	12.1	76.7	75.9	65.1	730.9
Kansas St. (22-10)	19.5	11.4	10.3	73	64.6	66	658.4
Michigan St. (19-14)	17.2	12.3	11.5	68.5	69.9	66.2	622.8
Old Dominion (27-6)	15	12.5	9.2	65.8	66.4	58.3	625
Pittsburgh (27-5)	16.7	12	10.9	74.1	67.2	61	708.5
St. John’s (NY) (21-11)	18	12.2	7.8	70.1	71.1	66.4	633.6
UALR (19-16)	16.5	8.6	8	68	68.7	67	584.4
UC Santa Barbara (18-13)	21.1	16.4	8	68.4	75.5	65.4	657.6
UCLA (22-10)	13.9	13	12.6	70	68.3	65.7	633.5
UNC Ash. (19-13)	15.3	14.4	9.4	74.2	70.6	68.2	667.9
Utah St. (30-3)	14.7	11.6	10.6	72.2	73.6	58.2	718.3
Wisconsin (23-8)	18.6	18.1	10	68.2	82.4	58.3	729.4
Wofford (21-12)	20	14	12.5	73.8	69.1	67.8	684

** Temple hairline fracture for Scootie Randall. His ppg is 11.6, however the next guy was 10.7

Best of Luck to us all,

Team		Top Players Points Per Game		Team Points		Scoring
SOUTH	1	2	3	Per Game	FT%	Defense	Rating

Ala. St. (17-17)	12.5	10.9	8.7	61.3	60	63.6	505.4
Clemson (21-11)	14.7	12.1	10.8	68.3	69.3	60.9	645.7
George Mason (26-6)	15.3	14.4	10.7	73.3	69	61.5	704
Georgia (21-11)	16.1	14.5	12.2	68.8	69.6	64.3	643.9
Indiana St. (20-13)	11	8.8	9.4	66.5	71.1	64.1	583.7
Kentucky (25-8)	17.5	16.5	13	76.4	71.8	63.8	750.2
Long Island (27-5)	12.9	12.9	11	82.6	64.5	73.9	695.2
Marquette (20-14)	16	15.9	11.7	76.1	69.1	69.1	691.5
North Carolina (26-7)	15	14.5	11.4	76.7	66.3	67.8	690.7
Ohio St. (32-2)	17.3	14.2	12.4	77.1	70.5	59.8	772.7
Princeton (25-6)	13.9	13.9	12.7	69.6	73.1	63.2	664
Syracuse (26-7)	14.4	13	12.8	73.6	65.9	63.3	684.8
UAB (22-8)	17.7	14.3	12	68.9	71.9	62.3	669.5
UTSA (19-13)	17	14.8	13.6	70.9	70.6	69.6	640.7
Villanova (21-11)	15.4	15	14	72.7	75.8	65.6	701.1
Washington (23-10)	16.8	15.5	10.8	83.5	66.7	70.4	755.1
West Virginia (20-11)	14.1	13.1	10.9	69.5	70.6	64.1	641.9
Xavier (24-7)	20.2	13.8	11.7	72.6	74.8	64.5	708.6

WEST

**Temple (25-7)	14.9	11.8	10.7	70.9	69.4	62.2	664.9
Arizona (27-7)	19.1	9.6	8.3	76.5	74.7	67.5	704.1
Bucknell (25-8)	14.9	11.7	8.8	70.8	78.6	63.4	677
Cincinnati (25-8)	11.8	11.6	9.9	69	66.6	59.2	644.3
Connecticut (26-9)	22.5	10.3	10	73.4	75.5	66.4	697.5
Duke (30-4)	21.3	13.4	17.1	81.1	75	64.3	822.4
Hampton (24-8)	17.7	16.5	10.7	67.7	64.7	62	639.5
Memphis (25-9)	12.3	9.9	9.2	72	67.9	68.1	613.2
Michigan (20-13)	15.2	13.9	9.2	66.1	69.6	62.7	611.9
Missouri (23-10)	17.1	11.6	10.5	81.4	73.9	71.4	734.9
Northern Colo. (21-10)	21.4	10.6	9.5	72.2	77.2	65.7	690.4
Oakland (25-9)	18	17.4	12.5	85.6	72.1	76.6	765.4
Penn St. (19-14)	20.1	13.3	9.8	63	72.5	62.4	603.3
San Diego St. (32-2)	15.4	11.5	11.2	72.2	69.8	73.7	602
Tennessee (19-14)	17.4	15.2	8.9	70.6	68.3	67.3	634.9
Texas (27-7)	18.6	13.3	11.5	74.9	64.5	61.4	717.8

SOUTHWEST

Akron (23-12)	11.9	10.3	10.1	70.5	70.6	65.6	625
Boston U. (21-13)	19.2	14.5	10.9	66.4	72.7	63.7	636.4
Florida St. (21-10)	9.8	9.9	8.6	69.3	66.3	62.2	610.7
Georgetown (21-10)	17.9	9.1	12.1	71	73.2	66.1	655.2
Illinois (19-13)	14.8	12	10.1	71.3	72.9	65.2	657.3
Kansas (32-2)	17.3	13.6	10	82.4	68.1	65.2	777
Louisville (25-9)	14.8	10.8	10.1	75.3	66.9	64.6	683.9
Morehead St. (24-9)	17.6	16	10.4	69.8	67.5	61.7	670.4
Notre Dame (26-6)	18.5	15.3	11.6	76	72.5	65.6	730.5
Purdue (25-7)	20.5	18.2	7.8	72.7	71.2	61.4	723
Richmond (27-7)	17.9	16.5	9.9	70.2	69.1	61	685.4
St. Peter’s (20-13)	12.8	11.6	10.6	61.4	64.3	59.9	554
Texas A&M (24-8)	14.3	11.9	9.8	68.9	70.3	61	649.8
UNLV (24-8)	13.5	13	11.1	71.9	69	62.6	672.5
USC (19-14)	17.3	10.4	10	66.8	65.3	62.8	604.2
Vanderbilt (23-10)	19.5	15.1	12.8	76.2	74.7	67.6	731.3
VCU (23-11)	15.3	14	11.3	71.5	71.9	67.4	652.2

SOUTHEAST

Belmont (30-4)	12.4	10.6	10	80.4	73.6	61.9	770.9
Butler (23-9)	16.7	15.2	8.9	72.8	73	64.7	689.3
BYU (30-4)	28.5	12.6	8.5	81.6	75.9	67.5	801.6
Florida (26-7)	14.4	14.1	11.5	71.5	66.6	63.1	664.6
Gonzaga (24-9)	13.8	12.5	12.1	76.7	75.9	65.1	730.9
Kansas St. (22-10)	19.5	11.4	10.3	73	64.6	66	658.4
Michigan St. (19-14)	17.2	12.3	11.5	68.5	69.9	66.2	622.8
Old Dominion (27-6)	15	12.5	9.2	65.8	66.4	58.3	625
Pittsburgh (27-5)	16.7	12	10.9	74.1	67.2	61	708.5
St. John’s (NY) (21-11)	18	12.2	7.8	70.1	71.1	66.4	633.6
UALR (19-16)	16.5	8.6	8	68	68.7	67	584.4
UC Santa Barbara (18-13)	21.1	16.4	8	68.4	75.5	65.4	657.6
UCLA (22-10)	13.9	13	12.6	70	68.3	65.7	633.5
UNC Ash. (19-13)	15.3	14.4	9.4	74.2	70.6	68.2	667.9
Utah St. (30-3)	14.7	11.6	10.6	72.2	73.6	58.2	718.3
Wisconsin (23-8)	18.6	18.1	10	68.2	82.4	58.3	729.4
Wofford (21-12)	20	14	12.5	73.8	69.1	67.8	684

** Temple hairline fracture for Scootie Randall. His ppg is 11.6, however the next guy was 10.7

March Madness – Winning Betting Formula – Results – Schedule

JD — Wed, 02 Mar 2011 00:51:58 +0000

Closest Bet to a Sure Thing in Sports Betting:
Before we get into the nuts and bolts of how this little formula works, I would first like to give you a little nugget of information that has never lost. However, finding the bet is not so easy and it only happens during the first round of the Tournament. In all the years of the NCAA Division I tournament never has the lowest seeded team beat the highest seeded team. So, in the four divisions of the tournament, no ranked #1 team has lost to a ranked #16 team, ever. What this means is, this bet is as close to a sure thing as you are ever going to get when betting one side. You probably guessed it the line is crazy big and only a few places will even post one. The last time I made one of these bets the moneyline was around -2100. That’s right, you would need to put up $2100 just to make $100. However, keep in mind you can risk $20 or $100 if you want, you just won’t make much money, but it is still a lot of fun.

2011 March Madness NCAA Division I Tournament Schedule Dates:

Selection Sunday
March 13, 2011

First Round
March 15-16, 2011
UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)

Second-Third Rounds
March 17, 19, 2011
Pepsi Center (Denver)
St. Pete Times Forum (Tampa, Fla.)
McKale Center (Tucson, Ariz.)
Verizon Center (Washington, D.C.)

March 18, 20, 2011
Time Warner Cable Arena (Charlotte, N.C.)
United Center (Chicago)
Quicken Loans Arena (Cleveland, Ohio)
BOK Center (Tulsa, Okla.)

Southeast Regional
March 24, 26, 2011
New Orleans Arena (New Orleans)

West Regional
March 24, 26, 2011
Honda Center (Anaheim, Calif.)

Southwest Regional
March 25, 27, 2011
Alamodome (San Antonio, Texas)

East Regional
March 25, 27, 2011
Prudential Center (Newark, N.J.)

National Semifinals
April 2, 2011
Reliant Stadium (Houston)

Championship Game
April 4, 2011
Reliant Stadium (Houston)

Winning formula for March Madness NCAA Division I Tournament

This formula is about as hectic as the tournament itself. You will need the following websites:

Statfox – for quick team point per game stats
ESPN Men’s Basketball – For Individual player stats
The Sports Network – For NCAA injuries

The picture above was for the 2010 stats before the tournament started. To start you will need to make a spread sheet, listing all the teams in the 4 divisions that are going to be in the tournament. You will need to get to work on this as soon as possible so you can start making all your picks in the numerous bracket tournaments you have signed up for. So, two days may seem like a lot of time, but by the end you will be exhausted and happy just to get the games started. Once the games start you will not need to update the charts, well sometimes due to injuries, but usually I am too lazy by then too bother. After all, this is supposed to be fun, not work.

In the picture above the Top Players Points Per Game represent the top 3 scoring players on the team according to ESPN. Once you click on the ESPN link you then find the team and select STATS. This will list the top players and is usually already sorted by points per game. Next check these top players against injuries according to The Sports Network. If one of the players is injured or suspended or whatever and most likely will not be playing in the tournament, then deduct 4 points from individual player. I would then change the name of the team to something like Duke3. That would let me know that I had an injury reduction for player 3. You would do this so later in the tournament you can check again to verify the player is still out. So, in our example, if player 3 was not playing then I would enter 13.3 for his point per game instead of the 17.3 and change the name of the team to Duke3.

Next, follow the Statfox link and you should be at NCAA Basketball Offensive Stats Sorted by Team (All Games). There you will find the stats for Team Points Per Game and the Free Throw Percentage. Now to get the Defense number, click view defensive statistics in the left hand corner. Once that page loads you will now have your Scoring Defense number as it is in the 1st column, PPG.

Now that we have entered the data information we just need to compute the Rating. Here is the formula to quantify the data:

=(SUM(B117:D117)*3)+(E117*4)+(F117*3)+((E117-G117)*7)

Now that we have the Rating it is easy to fill out a tournament bracket, since whichever team has the higher rating is the one your choose. However, for round by round betting we need to interpret the ratings into a scoring system; for every 10 points of Rating it represents 1 point of actual scoring when trying to determine the spread of a game.

For example in the 2010 tournament game #1 Duke vs #3 Baylor:

As you can see Duke has 56.70 more rating points, which would mean about a 6 point favorite. The final score of that game was Duke 78 and Baylor 71. The line was Duke -4.5. There must be at least a 1 point difference between my line and the line offered by the book before I would make a play and in this case the lines were very close, but enough that I bet Duke -4.5; since I had duke winning by at least 5.6 points.

Unit Size

Money Management is always the foundation of any successful system or strategy. However, it this case, we are going to use a very aggressive style. Meaning we will put it all on the line in the first round. When I say first round, I mean the round where all the teams play, not the first round where there are a couple of teams struggling to get in the tournament. Your unit size will be based on the number of valid plays on the first round of the tournament and all picks will be to win, not to risk, since the first round is broken up over 2 days.

For example:
For simplicity, I will use a $100 bankroll in this example. In 2010 the first round of the tournament was on March 18th & 19th and 32 games were played. Of those played games 26 qualified as having a spread of one point or more difference from what I predicted. Next I took that 26 qualified game number and divide it into my bankroll of $100. $100/26 = $3.84. So each bet was to win $3.84.

Using the example above, the 2010 record was 27 wins and 22 losses. Which translated to 27 x $3.84 = $103.68 won and 22 x $4.22 = $92.84 loss = $10.84 profit. So not only did you have a great time, you walked with a 10.84% ROI. Which is great in itself. However, being March Madness means you mostly likely got at least a 50% free play bonus. If you used How to Effectively Use a Free Play Bonus then turning that into at least 25% cash is extremely easy. If you add this 25% to your 10.84%, you get 35.84%, which means you probably not only had a great time, but financed your entire March Madness party

How To Make a Winning Betting Formula for March Madness

Well guys there you have it. A very sound strategy and when you add a bonus to the mix, your changes of have a winning March Madness Tournament go way up.

Best of Luck and don’t forget to raise your beer high and give thanks to that which is March Madness,